Braden Allenby on The Future of War
When: Thursday, December 14th. 5:30pm
Where: The Drury Plaza Hotel. 828 Paseo de Peralta, Santa Fe NM.
Cost: $10/12 members; $12/15 nonmembers. Tickets are available here.
While violent conflicts of various kinds and at various scales will continue to be challenges, the future will see a continuation of the evolution of war towards civilizational conflict. War will be fought across many different domains (conventional military; financial, media and entertainment; infrastructure at all scales; consumer products and services); will involve both new players, such as environmental groups, and the return of old players, such as state religions; and will reflect rapid evolution of powerful and unpredictable technology systems, such as AI and autonomous systems, and social media. Traditional war, with military technologies and kinetic weapons, and defined geographic battle spaces, will likely become the exception, not the rule. And eventual victory will go to those for whom traditional war is a failure mode: rather than a continuation of policy, resort to conventional war will represent a policy failure. Russia’s invasion of Crimea and Ukraine, cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, and interference in British and US elections is not an aberration, but an illustration of the “hybrid warfare” and “unrestricted warfare” that will characterize future conflict.
Braden R. Allenby is President’s Professor of Civil, Environmental, and Sustainable Engineering, and of Law; Lincoln Professor of Engineering and Ethics; Senior Sustainability Scientist; Founding Director of the Center for Earth Systems Engineering and Management; and co-chair of the Weaponized Narrative Initiative of the Center for the Future of War, at Arizona State University. He moved to ASU from his previous position as the Environment, Health and Safety Vice President for AT&T in 2004. Dr. Allenby received his BA from Yale University, his JD and MA (economics) from the University of Virginia, and his MS and Ph.D. in Environmental Sciences from Rutgers University.
His latest books are Industrial Ecology and Sustainable Engineering (co-authored with Tom Graedel in 2009), The Techno-Human Condition (co-authored with Dan Sarewitz in 2011), The Theory and Practice of Sustainable Engineering (2012), The Applied Ethics of Emerging Military and Security Technologies (an edited volume released by Ashgate Press in 2015), Future Conflict and Emerging Technologies (2016), and Weaponized Narrative: The New Battlespace (a collection of essays co-edited with Joel Garreau, released in 2017). Moral Injury, a collection of essays co-edited with Tom Frame and Andrea Ellner, will be released in late 2017.